Sunday, April 10, 2011

Understanding Chinese Society

From FPRI:

Available on the web and in pdf format at:


http://www.fpri.org/footnotes/1601.201104.gold.chinesesociety.html



UNDERSTANDING CHINESE SOCIETY



by Thomas B. Gold



There is a curse attributed to an ancient Chinese

philosopher which goes, "may you live in interesting times."

(I learned recently that this curse was likely made up by an

unknown foreigner and not a Chinese after all.) Yet, as I

prepared this presentation about Chinese society, I could

not help keeping my eyes on the unfolding political events

in the Middle East, and North Africa as well as post-

earthquake/tsunami/nuclear disaster Japan, and asking

questions at the very root of Sociology: what makes social

order possible? How do societies hold together, if they do,

in the face of inconceivable and unprecedented breaches of

their accustomed ways of doing things? How do the leaders of

these societies think about and try to plan for, to quote a

popular business book, "Black Swans" - highly improbable

events?



So I thought I would start this presentation on

"understanding Chinese society" with an exercise of trying

to put myself in the shoes of China's leaders, who just

completed two big political meetings-the National People's

Congress and Chinese People's Political Consultative

Conference-where they defined how they see themselves and

the tasks ahead. They, too, were also observing and

analyzing the turmoil in the Middle East, North Africa and

Japan while keeping an eye on their own rapidly changing

society.



What conceptual tools do China's leaders draw on to

understand their own society? I see three main components:



The first is the Chinese tradition, which is both this-

worldly and practical. There are two streams of note. One is

Confucianism which stresses the middle way, harmonious

society, knowing one's role in society and performing it

well, hierarchy, mobility through education and self-

cultivation, and enlightened officials who also serve as

moral exemplars. The other, harder, stream is Legalism,

where the ruler relies on severe laws and harsh punishments

to maintain power and order. There is no idea of an

impersonal legal system or concept of everyone being equal

before the law.



The second component is a Leninist one-party dictatorship.

This is not just a typical military strong-man dictatorship,

but is a system led by the Chinese Communist Party, (in

theory) a disciplined, centralized and enlightened (through

the study of Marx, Lenin, and Mao) vanguard committed to

leading the masses to socialism and then communism.



Third, the leaders see China as a developing country with a

large rural population, much of which is still poor and

concerned with ensuring the basic necessities of life. In

this view, "human rights" means food, shelter, clothing, a

job and health care.



So putting this together, as China's leaders see it, theirs

is a large, populous developing society without a tradition

of Western-style democracy, but rather a population which

requires and looks to a strong central authority to provide

order, set an example, and take care of their basic needs.



As they look around the world, what do they see?



They see the former socialist bloc which experienced state

and economic collapse, where the communist parties lost

power. The parties lost legitimacy and were undermined by

the rise of civil society from below, as well as contagion

and interference from the West. They now see long-time

dictatorships in the Middle East and North Africa being

overthrown by mass movements (the "Jasmine Revolution") led

by youth using the Internet and social networks. It is the

twenty-first century version of the movements which brought

down communism in Eastern Europe (and almost China) from

1989 to 1991.



What lessons do they draw from this? They cannot lose

legitimacy; they cannot permit their people to organize

outside Communist Party control, especially using the new

tools of telecommunications. They must demonstrate the

Party's commitment to modernization, an improving standard

of living and effective leadership. Besides words, they need

to keep the economy growing to provide jobs and incomes so

people will be busy working and consuming to improve their

material lives, and have no interest in-or time

for-politics. They have to control the Internet and other

sources of information about the turmoil going on outside.

And finally, they must not allow the growth of social forces

outside Party control which might challenge its monopoly on

political power.



At the March 2011 meeting of the National People's Congress,

the chairman of the Standing Committee, Wu Bangguo, stated:

"On the basis of China's conditions, we've made a solemn

declaration that we'll not employ a system of multiple

parties holding office in rotation." He ruled out the

possibility of separating executive, legislative and

judicial powers, adopting a bicameral or federal system. "If

we waver, the achievements thus far in development will be

lost and it is possible the country could sink into the

abyss of internal disorder."



Outsiders do not often realize or fully appreciate that

China is far from monolithic and, with the rapid economic

development of the past 30 years, has become an increasingly

complex and difficult society to manage.



There are many forms of inequality and diversity. To tick

off a list:



* Geography: China is huge with a wide range of climate

and topographical conditions.



* Natural Resource Endowment, especially as regards

water (the North is dry, the South is wet) and the

presence of valued minerals, many of which are deep in

the interior regions.



* Levels of Development, particularly between the

coastal areas and the interior.



* Urban, suburban and rural residence. The hukou system

still provides advantages to those with official urban

residence permits.



* Income and wealth as a result of the reforms. Much

of this has derived from corruption. You see

conspicuous consumption at the same time as beggars

living on the streets, even in the frigid Beijing

winters.



* Guanxi (connections) to powerful officials and

families, as well as connections to the outside world.



* Links to modern technology, such as the Internet and

cell phones.



* Real and virtual links to the outside world.



* Age: This is more than just a "generation gap,"

because of the dramatic lurches and shifts in

development strategies since 1949. Different age

cohorts have been raised with different sets of tools

and expectations. People in their 50s and above

expected the Communist Party to take care of them while

younger groups have been raised to be entrepreneurial

and take initiative. Many older people have had trouble

adapting to the new society's norms and engaged in

noisy protests in the early 2000s.



Many of these forms of inequality intersect, with ethnicity

and gender being prime axes.



The Chinese government no longer tries to homogenize the

population but to "harmonize" what it acknowledges are

differing and legitimate interests. However, "harmony" has

become code for old-fashioned suppression of perceived

challenges, and, in popular cynical parlance, to "be

harmonized" means to be subject to coercion. The leaders,

especially with the events of early 2011, have become

particularly concerned with order and not letting what

outsiders see as minor protests spiral out of control.



Another important area of diversity in Chinese society is

ethnicity. Officially, there are 56 ethnic groups, with the

Han comprising 92 percent of the population. The other 55

groups vary widely by their numbers, standard of living,

physical and cultural (such as language and religious)

similarity to the Han, geographical location (such as remote

areas or close to cities), whether or not they have cross-

border brethren (such as ethnic groups in Central Asian

countries as well as China; Mongols, Koreans, many of the

groups in the Southern border regions); whether or not they

are part of global diasporas (such as Koreans and Tibetans),

and whether or not there is a strong separatist movement

among them, in particular, the Tibetans and Uighurs who also

enjoy a degree of international support.



March 2011 marked the fifty-second anniversary of the

Tibetan uprising against Chinese rule and the flight of the

fourteenth Dalai Lama to India, and the third anniversary of

violent and violently suppressed demonstrations in Tibet

against what many see as harsh Chinese rule. This also

includes what is seen by some as a strategy by the Han to

encourage Han migration into Tibet so that the Tibetans and

their culture will be increasingly marginalized and rendered

powerless. This happened in Inner Mongolia and is occurring

in Xinjiang. The new Beijing-Lhasa railroad is seen by some

as an instrument to speed up this process as well as to

facilitate the extraction and removal of valuable resources

from Tibet and the movement of troops in.



At the March 2011 meeting of the Tibetan parliament-in-exile

in Dharamsala, India, the Dalai Lama announced that he would

relinquish his political role while retaining his spiritual

one. He planned to pass the political role to a new leader

to be elected at the conference. He has tried to build

effective institutions to survive after he has gone. He also

declared that he might break with the traditional lengthy

process of selecting a new Dalai Lama through reincarnation.

The Chinese leadership said this was all a trick by the

Dalai Lama to install someone while he is still alive to

prevent Beijing from managing the succession, as it did in

1995 with the second most powerful figure of Tibetan

Buddhism, the Panchen Lama. Bizarrely, the atheistic

communist government has declared that the new Dalai Lama

must be identified through traditional reincarnation, which

they hope to manage.



There is a very active Tibetan diaspora, and the Dalai Lama,

winner of the 1989 Nobel Peace Prize, is an internationally

revered figure, which puts the Beijing leaders in a very

difficult spot as they continue to condemn him.



Another notable minority nationality is the Uighurs, one of

several Turkic Muslim groups in far west Xinjiang, the area

of the Silk Road. They do not have a charismatic leader on

the order of the Dalai Lama but there is a foreign-based

independence movement. The Chinese have made efforts to

connect this with fundamentalist Islamic terrorism, and some

Uighurs were captured in Afghanistan and remanded to the

U.S. prison in Guantanamo. There has been sporadic violence

in Xinjiang as well, with July 2009 witnessing a

particularly bloody episode.



Finally, turning to education, this has traditionally been

seen as a route to upward mobility in China, with no

barriers to students of any age who work diligently. From

the dynasties through the present, China's education system

has been based on rote memorization and regurgitation of

approved texts. During the Cultural Revolution (1966-1976)

the education system became a literal and figurative

battleground, and intellectuals were violently persecuted.

With the adoption of the Four Modernizations at the end of

1978 as the guiding strategy for development, education

received new emphasis and investment as the third priority

after agriculture and industry, but before national defense.



China now has nine years of compulsory free education.

However, this has not yet become universal and there remain

problems of funding, particularly in the rural areas where

officials charge illegal fees. The system has become

increasingly stratified, with key schools at every level

offering superior facilities. The government has

dramatically expanded higher education and many

universities, and some high schools, have links and

exchanges with institutions abroad and are beginning to

offer programs in English to attract foreign degree-seeking

students.



While education provides a channel for mobility, the same

sorts of inequality found elsewhere also exist in China.

Students from families possessing more wealth and income,

are able to provide better nutrition and health care, an

environment for study, tutors, extracurricular enrichment

activities, access to the Internet, foreign contacts and

even study abroad, which all serve to reinforce existing

inequalities. None of this is unique to China.



While Chinese students score extremely high on standardized

tests and are doing well enough to test into top

universities abroad, there is great concern that the

traditional pedagogy-stressing memorization and teaching to

the test-is not producing the kind of innovative and

creative graduates able to lead China's economy into the top

ranks. There are now problems of tightening labor markets

even for college graduates in China. This has resulted in

the so called "ant tribe" of job seekers. There are an

estimated 100,000 of them in Beijing alone.



In conclusion, China is a diverse society characterized by

increasing complexity and dynamic change. It is in the

process of a difficult and dangerous transition with no

clear end point or guidelines. The leadership watches the

events unfolding in other countries with which they share

many characteristics, and are concerned to maintain control

and order, even if this attracts condemnation from abroad.



----------------------------------------------------------

Copyright Foreign Policy Research Institute

(http://www.fpri.org/).

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