Friday, June 24, 2011

The Moroccan Spring

From FPRI:

THE MOROCCAN SPRING


by Ahmed Charai



June 20, 2011



Ahmed Charai is Publisher of the Moroccan weekly magazine

L'Observateur as well as the French edition of Foreign

Policy magazine. He sits on the Board of Trustees of the

Foreign Policy Research Institute and the Center for

Strategic and International Studies in Washington, DC.



Available on the web and in pdf format at:

http://www.fpri.org/enotes/201106.charai.morocco.html



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A History Institute for Secondary School Teachers



TEACHING THE MIDDLE EAST:

BETWEEN AUTHORITARIANISM AND REFORM



October 15-16, 2011

Philadelphia, PA



The turmoil that began in Tunisia in December 2010 has

spread throughout the region. The big question is whether

the Arab Spring will pave the way for a transition to

democratic regimes or to a different form of dictatorship.

At this historic moment in the Middle East, the Foreign

Policy Research Institute’s Wachman Center will bring

together leading academic experts in relevant

fields—including Middle East specialists from the fields of

history, cultural studies, economics, political science and

international relations—to place these events in historical

perspective, enabling secondary school teachers to help

their students connect the headlines of the day with an

understanding of the region’s history.



For compkete information and updates see:

http://www.fpri.org/education/1110middleeast/



Or contact

Alan Luxenberg

Tel: (215) 732-3774 x105

Email: lux@fpri.org

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THE MOROCCAN SPRING



by Ahmed Charai

CASABLANCA--Across the Arab world, we see mass


demonstrations, armed revolts or messy, uncertain

transitions to democracy -- except in Morocco. That North

African Arab country was thunderstruck when its king, in a

June 17 speech, calmly called for a new constitution that

transfers almost all power from the monarch to an elected

prime minister. The people will vote on a referendum in July

on a new constitution.



The king proposed to combine an elected parliament with

broad powers with a monarchy limited by a new constitution,

much like that of the European democracy. Just as in Western

European nations, the prime minister will be elected by

whichever party wins the most votes. The prime minister will

appoint and dismiss all cabinet ministers and regional

government officials, including the governors. Since

Morocco's independence in 1956, these powers were reserved

to the king.



The parliament, which had a more limited grant of powers

from the king when it was created in 1997, will now have

the same powers as the assemblies of the world's great

democracies. Parliament can write laws, levy taxes, convene

hearings, establish a budget and hold bureaucrats

accountable. If bicameralism is maintained, the second

chamber, a kind of senate that is elected indirectly, will

not have the power to dissolve the government.



While many observers expected the king to announce a new

power-sharing relationship with the parliament, few expected

him to go this far, this fast to full democracy. The new

constitution moves far beyond striking a new balance of

power-it makes Morocco a wholly modern state.



The new constitution also establishes the primacy of

international conventions and U.N. treaties, and, thus the

necessity of adapting Moroccan laws to them. This is a huge

step forward, especially for the rights of women. For too

long, the full recognition of women's equality has been

mired in religious objections. Now that will change.



The king also called for a fully independent judiciary to

combat corruption and safeguard human rights.



The proposed constitutional changes are the latest in a long

line of pro-democracy developments. Morocco has a history of

political pluralism. The kingdom has 12 major and regional

political parties, an independent and free press, and human

rights protections.

Morocco also has a record of respecting elections. The March


1998 election brought to power a coalition of center-left

parties, known as the Socialist Union of Popular Forces-the

first time an opposition party took power after an election

in the Arab world. As for past abuses of human rights, the

government acknowledged those wrongs and initiated a process

called reconciliation in 2002. Victims are being compensated

and wrong-doers punished.



These reforms were hailed in their time, but ten years

later, other more ambitious demands are being heard. When

the 2007 elections were marked by a record low turnout (37

percent), the king and the government realized that more

needed to be done. The Socialist Union of Popular Forces,

once again in opposition, called for a constitutional

monarchy at its 2008 party convention. Calls for democratic

reform accelerated in 2011 following the largely peaceful

demonstrations, known as the movement of February 20.



Unlike in other Arab countries, protesters did not call for

the fall of the monarchy, but simply for the end of

absolutism and corruption. The protests were continuous,

almost weekly, and largely peaceful. The police did not

intervene. Instead, the demonstrators hoped to exert a calm,

steady pressure-much like Martin Luther King's nonviolent

protests in 1960s America.



Only under the leadership of Al Adl Wal Ihssane, a radical

Islamic group, did the protests become violent and the

police swarm in. One protester died. The reaction of the

king was telling. He immediately ordered the National

Brigade of the Judicial Police, the governing body of the

national police, to investigate police brutality.



Most political parties support the king's proposed

constitutional changes, but two forces seemed to be

gathering strength in the public protests: the Islamists of

Al Adl Wal Ihssane and the Maoists of Annahj. The former are

in principle banned but tolerated, the latter are a legal

party. Both essentially oppose the existence of the

monarchy.



The Islamists hope to reestablish the seventh century

caliphate and aim to use democracy to achieve their ends. In

the long-term, however, a multi-party democracy will not

exist in their Islamic caliphate. Their literature speaks

of denying the power of the parliament to make law,

replacing it with a judiciary that rules through unchanging

Sharia law. Meanwhile, the Maoists want an anti-capitalist

revolution.

These two movements are a distinct but vocal minority,


although Al Adl WalI hssane has a vast membership and a

disciplined hierarchy.



The king, by heeding the demands for democratic reform by

the February 20 movement, has created a channel to direct

the energies of the demonstrators away from extremism.

Referenda can be more powerful than police batons.



Thanks to Morocco's unique history, the king's gambit may

well succeed. In Egypt and Tunisia, which had small,

fractured and repressed political classes, the only thing

that demonstrators agreed on was the departure of their

ruler. By contrast, Morocco has a vast and vibrant political

class to debate and shape the future of the country.

Violence is the last refuge of the voiceless; in Morocco,

people are free to gather, publish dissenting views and call

radio programs or use online social media to express

themselves. So violence is unnecessary and rare.



Nearly every one will have a say in the debate over the

constitutional referendum planned for July and offer

counter-proposals for new political institutions. But the

debate will be had with strong opinions, not Molotov

cocktails.



The Moroccan experience stands as a model for the rest of

Arab world, with peaceful yet dramatic political change

coming from the top and bottom of society simultaneously. It

took almost 15 years of steady reforms and the enlargement

of civil society to get to this turning point. This embrace

of full-bodied democracy is the hard-won return on a long-

term investment. Other Arab leaders would feel safer if

they made similar, patient investments. It is not too late

to start.



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Copyright Foreign Policy Research Institute

(http://www.fpri.org/).

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